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Guapore vs Ji-Parana Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Mano
70' Event
Oliveira T.
85' Event
Rafael Tanque

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Guapore advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guapore
35%
Draws
35%
Ji-Parana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guapore come out ahead of Ji-Parana on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ji-Parana a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Guapore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guapore, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Guapore Clean Sheet 20%
Ji-Parana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guapore Ji-Parana
Matches Played 43 33
Wins 24 17
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.44 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Rondoniense
Guapore vs Ji-Parana
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs Guapore
2:0
Apr 10, 2025 Rondoniense
Guapore vs Ji-Parana
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs Guapore
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Rondoniense
Guapore vs Ji-Parana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guapore Compare

Top Goalscorer Mano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ji-Parana Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Tanque
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guapore 10 / 100
Ji-Parana 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guapore Ji-Parana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ji-Parana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guapore found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (43 games).

Ji-Parana has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Guapore went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guapore VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guapore

(Home)
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
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Ji-Parana

(Away)
18 Mar
Ji-Parana
0 : 1
CA Rondoniense
15 Mar
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
12 Mar
Ji-Parana
3 : 0
Genus
09 Mar
Guapore
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
05 Mar
Porto Velho
0 : 0
Ji-Parana
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Porto Velho 2
Barcelona RO 1
Guapore 2
Ji-Parana 1
Final
Porto Velho 3
Guapore 2