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Guapore vs Luverdense

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guapore host Luverdense in the Serie D. Little to choose between these two on current form. Luverdense have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Guapore have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Luverdense slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.19, favoring Guapore. Guapore in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Guapore
33%
Draws
40%
Luverdense
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Luverdense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guapore lately — more wins on the board than Luverdense.
  • Win probability leans Luverdense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Guapore Clean Sheet 20%
Luverdense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guapore Luverdense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Luverdense vs Guapore
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guapore 28 / 100
Luverdense 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guapore Luverdense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guapore scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Guapore remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Luverdense has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Guapore VS Luverdense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
1/16-finals
Manauara1
Goiatuba EC0
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario1
Porto Velho2
Gama0
America RN4
Trem1
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Capital0
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Treze PB1
CRAC2
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Serra Branca0
Uberlandia1
Portuguesa1
Marcilio Dias1
CSA0
Betim FC1
Sao Luiz1
Velo Clube2
ASA2
Ivinhema1
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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