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Guapore vs Monte Roraima

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Patrick Felipe
45' Event
Patrick Felipe

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Guapore
30%
Draws
31%
Monte Roraima
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guapore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Monte Roraima haven't matched Guapore's recent run of results.
  • Guapore are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Guapore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guapore, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Guapore Clean Sheet 68%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guapore Monte Roraima
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Serie D
Guapore vs Monte Roraima
2:0
Jun 20, 2026 Serie D
Monte Roraima vs Guapore
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guapore Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick Felipe
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Monte Roraima Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guapore 68 / 100
Monte Roraima 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guapore Monte Roraima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guapore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Roraima has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Guapore's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Guapore has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guapore VS Monte Roraima
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guapore

(Home)
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
Page 1 of 6

Monte Roraima

(Away)
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1
Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA -
Uberlandia -