Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Patrick Felipe
45'
45'
Patrick Felipe
AI Match Summary
Guapore in this Serie D tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guapore
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Monte Roraima haven't matched Guapore's recent run of results.
- Guapore are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Guapore have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Guapore, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Guapore Clean Sheet 68%
Monte Roraima Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guapore | Monte Roraima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Serie D
Guapore vs Monte Roraima
2:0
Jun 20, 2026 Serie D
Monte Roraima vs Guapore
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guapore Compare
Top Goalscorer Patrick Felipe
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Monte Roraima Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guapore 95 / 100
Monte Roraima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guapore Monte Roraima
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monte Roraima has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Guapore's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Guapore has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Guapore VS Monte Roraima
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Guapore
(Home) 12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0 Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0 Guapore
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0 Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2 Guapore
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0 Luverdense
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0 Monte Roraima
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2 Araguaina
09 May
Guapore
1 : 0 Galvez
25 Apr
Guapore
1 : 0 Porto Velho
Page 1 of 3
Monte Roraima
(Away) 28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0 Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2 Guapore
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 Monte Roraima
31 May
Monte Roraima
0 : 1 Manauara
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2 Sao Raimundo RR
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0 Monte Roraima
14 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1 Monte Roraima
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3 Monte Roraima
09 May
Manaus FC
0 : 2 Monte Roraima
19 Apr
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1 Monte Roraima
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC3
Ferroviario0
America RN1
Gama0
Luverdense0
ABC0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Iguatu1
EC Sao Jose (PA)2
Treze PB1
Uberlandia2
Portuguesa0
Sao Luiz0
CSA0
Cianorte0
ASA1
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-