Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guapore vs Trem

Brazil Brazil

Copa Norte Estadio Municipal Jose Angelo Cassol
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guapore play Trem in the Copa Norte. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guapore averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Trem averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Guapore won 1, Trem won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 15, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Guapore and 1.56 for Trem. This points to a Guapore double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Guapore
20%
Draws
31%
Trem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guapore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Guapore picked up more points recently compared to Trem.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Guapore Clean Sheet 15%
Trem Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guapore Trem
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Norte
Guapore vs Trem
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guapore Compare

Top Goalscorer Mano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Trem Compare

Top Goalscorer Wanderson Gotinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guapore 47 / 100
Trem 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guapore Trem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guapore or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guapore attacking → ← attacking Trem

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guapore scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Trem let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Guapore went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Trem lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 43
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nacional-AM (Manaus)541014:113
2Paysandu PA53028:109
3Guapore52124:67
4Trem520311:116
5Independencia Futebol Clube51224:85
6Gremio Atletico Sampaio510410:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aguia De Maraba541012:613
2Porto Velho531110:510
3Amazonas52129:67
4Remo52126:67
5Galvez51049:173
6Monte Roraima50239:152