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Guarai SC U20 vs Araguacema U20

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Tocantinense U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense U20 2025 game between Guarai SC U20 and Araguacema U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarai SC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Guarai SC U20
30%
Draws
41%
Araguacema U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araguacema U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Araguacema U20 come out ahead of Guarai SC U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Araguacema U20 a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Guarai SC U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Araguacema U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC U20 Araguacema U20
Matches Played 11 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.64 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Guarai SC U20 vs Araguacema U20
3:0
May 13, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Guarai SC U20 vs Araguacema U20
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC U20 20 / 100
Araguacema U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC U20 Araguacema U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguacema U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC U20 scored in 100% of their last 11 games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Araguacema U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Guarai SC U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC U20 VS Araguacema U20
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC U20

(Home)
17 May
Guarai SC U20
3 : 0
Araguacema U20
10 May
Araguaina U20
2 : 1
Guarai SC U20
03 May
Guarai SC U20
2 : 2
SD Sparta U20
26 Apr
Tocantins U20
2 : 1
Guarai SC U20
25 May
Guarai SC U20
1 : 1
Interporto U20
Page 1 of 3

Araguacema U20

(Away)
20 Jun
Batalhao U20
2 : 2
Araguacema U20
13 Jun
Araguacema U20
0 : 2
Batalhao U20
06 Jun
Central Tocantinense U20
0 : 3
Araguacema U20
04 Jun
Araguacema U20
4 : 0
Bela Vista U20
30 May
Araguacema U20
0 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas U20 4 3 0 1 14:4 9
2 Araguaia (TO) U20 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Gurupi U20 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
4 Uniao de Palmas U20 4 2 0 2 6:9 6
5 Alvorada U20 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao U20 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
2 Capital FC U20 4 2 1 1 17:7 7
3 Interporto U20 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
4 Taquarussu U20 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
5 Central Tocantinense U20 4 0 0 4 2:22 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araguaina U20 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 SD Sparta U20 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
3 Guarai SC U20 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
4 Tocantins U20 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
5 Araguacema U20 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis U20 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
2 Uniao Carmolandense U20 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
3 Bela Vista U20 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Paraiso EC U20 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
5 Arsenal EC U20 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
Promotion - Tocantinense U20 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)