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Guarai SC U20 vs Paraiso EC U20

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Tocantinense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guarai SC U20 play Paraiso EC U20 in the Tocantinense U20 2024. Guarai SC U20 are favorites here. Recently, Guarai SC U20 averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Paraiso EC U20 averaged 1.56 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Guarai SC U20 won 1, Paraiso EC U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 21, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Guarai SC U20 and 1.63 for Paraiso EC U20. This points to a Guarai SC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Guarai SC U20
20%
Draws
19%
Paraiso EC U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarai SC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarai SC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Paraiso EC U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Guarai SC U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Paraiso EC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC U20 Paraiso EC U20
Matches Played 11 9
Wins 4 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.64 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.45 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Guarai SC U20 vs Paraiso EC U20
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC U20 58 / 100
Paraiso EC U20 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC U20 Paraiso EC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Guarai SC U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guarai SC U20 attacking → ← attacking Paraiso EC U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC U20 scored in 100% of their last 11 games.

Paraiso EC U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Guarai SC U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Paraiso EC U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 6
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Capital FC U20541028:213
2Batalhao U20541021:313
3Interporto U20530223:79
4Gurupi U20520321:96
5Sao Jose U2050143:291
6Alvorada U2050142:481
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Araguacema U20541012:513
2Guarai SC U2053209:311
3Uniao EC U20530211:69
4Tocantins U2052126:77
5Paraiso EC U2051048:103
6Central Tocantinense U2050052:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao Carmolandense U20523011:59
2Tocantinopolis U2052306:49
3SD Sparta U2052219:48
4Araguaina U2052039:76
5Bela Vista U2051224:55
6Arsenal EC U2050231:152