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Guarai SC vs Araguaina Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2014
Guarai SC Logo

Guarai SC

1 - 2
FT
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araguaina in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguaina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guarai SC
35%
Draws
25%
Araguaina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araguaina lately — more wins on the board than Guarai SC.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Guarai SC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Araguaina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 17%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Araguaina
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 14 18
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.33 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.14 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Guarai SC
3:1
Apr 25, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Araguaina
1:1
Mar 24, 2015 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Guarai SC
2:1
Apr 21, 2014 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Araguaina
1:2
Mar 8, 2014 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Guarai SC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 75 / 100
Araguaina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Araguaina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guarai SC scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Araguaina let in goals in 68% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Guarai SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Araguaina
3.4 Goals Scored 2
0.8 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC

(Home)
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
Page 1 of 7

Araguaina

(Away)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gurupi 14 8 1 5 21:14 25
2 Tocantinopolis 14 7 3 4 30:19 24
3 Palmas 14 6 6 2 31:23 24
4 Interporto 14 6 4 4 18:11 22
5 Tocantins 14 5 4 5 23:21 19
6 Araguaina 14 5 4 5 18:21 19
7 Colinas 14 2 6 6 19:34 12
8 Guarai SC 14 1 4 9 11:28 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 (Play Offs)