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Stadium Background

Guarai SC vs Araguaina

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araguaina in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguaina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Guarai SC
6%
Draws
90%
Araguaina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araguaina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araguaina lately — more wins on the board than Guarai SC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Araguaina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Araguaina here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 20%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Araguaina
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 12 16
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Guarai SC
3:1
Apr 25, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Araguaina
1:1
Mar 24, 2015 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Guarai SC
2:1
Apr 21, 2014 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Araguaina
1:2
Mar 8, 2014 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Guarai SC
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 10 / 100
Araguaina 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Araguaina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guarai SC scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Araguaina let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Guarai SC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Araguaina
0 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gurupi1481521:1425
2Tocantinopolis1473430:1924
3Palmas1466231:2324
4Interporto1464418:1122
5Tocantins1454523:2119
6Araguaina1454518:2119
7Colinas1426619:3412
8Guarai SC1414911:287