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Guarai SC vs Tocantins

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2
Sat, Nov 1, 2025
3 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guarai SC host Tocantins in the Tocantinense 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Guarai SC at 1.97 goals for, 1.63 against; Tocantins at 0.75 for, 2.5 against. Past meetings favor Guarai SC slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 1, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (3.38 - 1.06) back Guarai SC to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guarai SC
20%
Draws
40%
Tocantins
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarai SC come out ahead of Tocantins on wins alone.
  • Guarai SC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Tocantins
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.97 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Tocantins
3:0
May 5, 2015 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Guarai SC
4:3
Apr 4, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Tocantins
3:1
May 2, 2014 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs Guarai SC
5:1
Mar 22, 2014 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Tocantins
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 58 / 100
Tocantins 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Tocantins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guarai SC scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Tocantins let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Tocantins lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Tocantins
3.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC

(Home)
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
22 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
2 : 0
Guarai SC
14 Feb
Araguaina
3 : 1
Guarai SC
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Guarai SC
Page 1 of 6

Tocantins

(Away)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
2 Uniao de Palmas 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
3 Alvorada 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
4 Interporto 4 2 2 0 11:2 2
5 Taquarussu 4 0 0 4 2:19 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarai SC 4 4 0 0 18:2 12
2 Paraiso EC 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Central Tocantinense 4 2 1 1 8:7 1
4 Araguaia (TO) 4 1 0 3 4:10 -6
5 Tocantins 4 0 0 4 0:12 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 (Play Offs)