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Guarani B vs Piracicaba

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025 Estádio Brinco de Ouro, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Joao Victor
55' Event
Paulo Marcelo
90' Event
Joao Victor

AI Match Summary

Piracicaba in this Copa Paulista 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Guarani B
30%
Draws
58%
Piracicaba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Piracicaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Piracicaba have won more games recently than Guarani B.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Piracicaba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Piracicaba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Guarani B Clean Sheet 20%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani B Piracicaba
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 3 12
Draws 3 13
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.16
Goals Conceded 2 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2025 Copa Paulista
Piracicaba vs Guarani B
1:0
Jun 30, 2025 Copa Paulista
Guarani B vs Piracicaba
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani B Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Piracicaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulo Marcelo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani B 36 / 100
Piracicaba 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani B Piracicaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piracicaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Piracicaba conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Guarani B's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Guarani B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Piracicaba
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani B

(Home)
16 Aug
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2
Guarani B
11 Aug
Guarani B
1 : 2
Sao Bento
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 0
Guarani B
28 Jul
Guarani B
0 : 3
Primavera EC
19 Jul
Paulista
1 : 0
Guarani B
Page 1 of 4

Piracicaba

(Away)
22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1
Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1
Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 8 4 4 0 12:6 16
2 Monte Azul 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
3 Noroeste 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
4 AEA Aracatuba 8 2 2 4 8:9 8
5 Linense 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 10 5 4 1 15:10 19
2 Comercial 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
3 Internacional de Limeira 10 3 5 2 17:13 14
4 Francana 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
5 Botafogo SP B 10 2 3 5 8:12 9
6 Itapirense 10 2 1 7 11:20 7
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba 10 7 3 0 13:4 24
2 Primavera EC 10 5 4 1 15:9 19
3 Paulista 10 4 1 5 10:10 13
4 Sao Bento 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Guarani B 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
6 Rio Branco SP 10 0 5 5 6:13 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 10 6 2 2 19:7 20
2 Portuguesa Santista 10 3 6 1 11:8 15
3 Osasco Sporting 10 4 2 4 8:10 14
4 Sao Caetano 10 4 1 5 8:11 13
5 Taubate 10 2 4 4 9:10 10
6 Santo Andre 10 1 5 4 4:13 8
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)