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Guarani de Juazeiro vs Barbalha

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Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Romarinho
9' Event
Esquerdinha
32' Event
Kaka

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Guarani de Juazeiro and Barbalha finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani de Juazeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Guarani de Juazeiro
17%
Draws
13%
Barbalha
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Guarani de Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani de Juazeiro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guarani de Juazeiro's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 68%
Barbalha Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Juazeiro Barbalha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Barbalha
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Cearense 2
Barbalha vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:0
Mar 2, 2023 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Barbalha
1:4
Feb 26, 2023 Cearense
Barbalha vs Guarani de Juazeiro
0:1
Feb 7, 2023 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Barbalha
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Esquerdinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaka
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Barbalha Compare

Top Goalscorer Romarinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Juazeiro 77 / 100
Barbalha 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Juazeiro Barbalha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Juazeiro found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Barbalha conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Guarani de Juazeiro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Juazeiro VS Barbalha
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa851214:716
2Crato84318:515
3Cariri FC82246:78
4Barbalha82244:88
5Guarani de Juazeiro82246:118
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapipoca850311:1015
2Crateus841310:413
3Guarany SC841312:813
4Caucaia83239:1411
5Atletico Cearense80446:124