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Guarani de Juazeiro vs Icasa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 4-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Icasa have shipped 0.77 goals a game lately, while Guarani de Juazeiro have conceded 1.41 and scored 0.97. Head-to-head, Guarani de Juazeiro have won 1 to Icasa's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 7, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.69) point toward Icasa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Guarani de Juazeiro
20%
Draws
47%
Icasa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Icasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Icasa have won more games recently than Guarani de Juazeiro.
  • Win probability leans Icasa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Icasa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Icasa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 13%
Icasa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Juazeiro Icasa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2026 Copa Fares Lopes
Icasa vs Guarani de Juazeiro
4:0
May 13, 2026 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Guarani de Juazeiro
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Icasa
1:5
Mar 23, 2025 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Icasa
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Guarani de Juazeiro
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Juazeiro 10 / 100
Icasa 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Juazeiro Icasa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Icasa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Guarani de Juazeiro's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Icasa let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Guarani de Juazeiro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Juazeiro VS Icasa
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani de Juazeiro

(Home)
07 Nov
Icasa
4 : 0
Guarani de Juazeiro
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
26 Apr
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 : 1
Crato
Page 1 of 6

Icasa

(Away)
07 Nov
Icasa
4 : 0
Guarani de Juazeiro
01 Nov
Quixada
0 : 5
Icasa
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 Guarani de Juazeiro 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
3 Quixada 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Ceara B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Atletico Cearense 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tirol 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Fortaleza B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Palmacia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)