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Guarani de Palhoca vs Blumenau

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Wellisson
62' Event
Flavinho

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Guarani de Palhoca and Blumenau finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Guarani de Palhoca
11%
Draws
9%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Guarani de Palhoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Blumenau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Guarani de Palhoca are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Blumenau here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 68%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Palhoca Blumenau
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 10 20
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Blumenau
1:1
May 27, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Guarani de Palhoca
2:0
Jun 30, 2024 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Guarani de Palhoca
2:1
Jun 4, 2022 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Blumenau
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Palhoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Flavinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Wellisson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Palhoca 86 / 100
Blumenau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Palhoca Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Palhoca found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Blumenau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 37 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Guarani de Palhoca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Palhoca VS Blumenau
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani de Palhoca

(Home)
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
04 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
Page 1 of 6

Blumenau

(Away)
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Nacao
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
08 Jul
Blumenau
1 : 1
Gremio Juventus
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz18133235:1042
2CA Metropolitano18122436:1838
3Caravaggio18105347:2035
4Blumenau1894535:1531
5Tubarao1865723:2123
6Guarani de Palhoca1865724:2423
7Nacao1856719:2621
8Fluminense-SC1863916:2521
9Gremio Juventus18521117:2617
10Jaragua-SC1801176:731
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)