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Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
34' Event
51' Event

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Guarani de Palhoca and Jaragua-SC finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani de Palhoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guarani de Palhoca
6%
Draws
4%
Jaragua-SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarani de Palhoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaragua-SC haven't matched Guarani de Palhoca's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Guarani de Palhoca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guarani de Palhoca have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Palhoca Jaragua-SC
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC
7:0
Jun 3, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Catarinense 3
Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Catarinense 3
Jaragua-SC vs Guarani de Palhoca
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Catarinense 3
Guarani de Palhoca vs Jaragua-SC
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Palhoca 85 / 100
Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Palhoca Jaragua-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Jaragua-SC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Guarani de Palhoca's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jaragua-SC conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Palhoca VS Jaragua-SC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani de Palhoca

(Home)
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
04 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
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Jaragua-SC

(Away)
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
04 Jul
Gremio Juventus
8 : 1
Jaragua-SC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz17123233:939
2CA Metropolitano17112433:1835
3Caravaggio1795344:1932
4Blumenau1894535:1531
5Tubarao1765623:1923
6Nacao1756618:2421
7Fluminense-SC1763816:2221
8Guarani de Palhoca1755722:2420
9Gremio Juventus17521016:2317
10Jaragua-SC1801176:731
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)