Sport Picks

Brazil

Alagoano U20 2024

Satuba U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guarani de Paripueira U20 enters this Alagoano U20 2024 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 71%. Guarani de Paripueira U20 averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Satuba U20 shows a form average of 0.5 goals scored and 4.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Guarani de Paripueira U20, 0 wins for Satuba U20, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.06.24 ended in a 7:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 3.54 for Guarani de Paripueira U20 and 1.08 for Satuba U20, suggesting the primary value lies in the Guarani de Paripueira U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%

Guarani de Paripueira U20

16%

Draws

13%

Satuba U20

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Guarani de Paripueira U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Guarani de Paripueira U20 picked up more points recently compared to Satuba U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.54 vs 1.08 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Guarani de Paripueira U20 Clean Sheet 22%

Satuba U20 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guarani de Paripueira U20	Satuba U20
Matches Played	19	6
Wins	8	0
Draws	4	0
Losses	7	6
Goals Scored	2	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	4.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	5.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

16.06.24 Alagoano U20

Guarani de Paripueira U20 vs Satuba U20

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

7:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Guarani de Paripueira U20

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Satuba U20

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Paripueira U20 68 / 100

Satuba U20 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guarani de Paripueira U20 Satuba U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani de Paripueira U20 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Guarani de Paripueira U20 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.9%

1.59

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Guarani de Paripueira U20 is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Guarani de Paripueira U20 78%

Satuba U20 10%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Satuba U20 will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Guarani de Paripueira U20's attacks.

Guarani de Paripueira U20 67%

Satuba U20 14%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Guarani de Paripueira U20 to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Guarani de Paripueira U20 71%

Satuba U20 13%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Guarani de Paripueira U20 vary their attacking width.

Guarani de Paripueira U20 75%

Satuba U20 12%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Satuba U20, allowing Guarani de Paripueira U20's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Guarani de Paripueira U20 64%

Satuba U20 14%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Guarani de Paripueira U20, while Satuba U20 takes risks to salvage a result.

Guarani de Paripueira U20 82%

Satuba U20 15%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guarani de Paripueira U20 attacking → ← attacking Satuba U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Paripueira U20 have found the net in 84% of their last 19 matches.

Satuba U20 have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 6 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 8.00 goals per match.

Guarani de Paripueira U20 remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Satuba U20 suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 0

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.67

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.33

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CSA U20	6	6	0	0	16:2	18
2	Guarani de Paripueira U20	6	4	0	2	20:11	12
3	Desportiva Alianca U20	6	4	0	2	14:7	12
4	Grota do Facao U20	6	4	0	2	12:5	12
5	Rio Largo U20	6	1	1	4	8:7	4
6	Ubertec U20	6	1	1	4	7:20	4
7	Satuba U20	6	0	0	6	3:28	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CRB U20	6	6	0	0	32:3	18
2	Coruripe U20	6	4	1	1	16:4	13
3	Guarany Alagoano U20	6	3	1	2	8:8	10
4	Sao Domingos U20	6	2	1	3	7:16	7
5	UNEC U20	6	2	1	3	8:19	7
6	Santa Cruz AL U20	6	1	0	5	6:12	3
7	Ponte Preta AL U20	6	0	2	4	1:16	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zumbi U20	4	3	1	0	17:0	10
2	Azzurra U20	4	3	1	0	13:2	10
3	Independente Atalaia U20	4	2	0	2	5:11	6
4	Murici U20	4	1	0	3	6:15	3
5	DZM Passo U20	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Lajense U20	4	0	0	4	3:16	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Liga do Sertao U20	6	4	1	1	11:4	13
2	SC Penedense U20	6	3	3	0	9:5	12
3	Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20	6	2	4	0	8:5	10
4	ASA U20	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
5	Cruzeiro Arapiraca U20	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
6	Dimensao Capela U20	6	1	1	4	3:6	4
7	CAP Paulo Jacinto U20	6	0	1	5	3:14	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jacioba U20	6	5	1	0	17:5	16
2	Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense U20	6	5	0	1	17:5	15
3	Canoense U20	6	3	1	2	6:8	10
4	Gaviao Izidorense U20	6	2	1	3	6:10	7
5	Flamengo do Ipiranga U20	6	2	0	4	9:14	6
6	Talisma U20	6	1	1	4	9:13	4
7	Sao Sebastiao U20	6	1	0	5	4:13	3