Sport Picks

Brazil

Alagoano Women 2024

Canoense W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guarani de Paripueira W play Canoense W in the Alagoano Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guarani de Paripueira W averaged 2.24 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Canoense W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Guarani de Paripueira W won 1, Canoense W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 13, 2024 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.38 for Guarani de Paripueira W and 1.88 for Canoense W. This points to a Guarani de Paripueira W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Guarani de Paripueira W

15%

Draws

35%

Canoense W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani de Paripueira W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Guarani de Paripueira W picked up more points recently compared to Canoense W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.38 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 91%

Over 2.5 Goals 84%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Guarani de Paripueira W Clean Sheet 10%

Canoense W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 82%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guarani de Paripueira W	Canoense W
Matches Played	25	6
Wins	8	2
Draws	1	0
Losses	16	4
Goals Scored	2.24	1.67
Goals Conceded	2.2	2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Alagoano Women

Guarani de Paripueira W vs Canoense W

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Paripueira W 47 / 100

Canoense W 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guarani de Paripueira W Canoense W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guarani de Paripueira W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.5%

1.28

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guarani de Paripueira W attacking → ← attacking Canoense W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Paripueira W scored in 64% of their last 25 games.

Canoense W let in goals in 83% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Guarani de Paripueira W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Canoense W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 6

2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Alagoana W	5	5	0	0	17:1	15
2	Guarani de Paripueira W	5	3	0	2	14:5	9
3	Acaua FC W	5	2	1	2	8:14	7
4	Canoense W	5	2	0	3	10:9	6
5	Atletico Alagoano W	5	1	1	3	5:14	4
6	CRB W	5	1	0	4	4:15	3
7	Grota do Facao W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0