Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarani-MG vs Boa

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Patrick
16' Event
Albaceta D.
39' Event
Juan Carlos

AI Match Summary

Boa in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guarani-MG
40%
Draws
29%
Boa
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Guarani-MG at 1.13 per game, Boa at 0.88.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 68%
Boa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani-MG Boa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Boa
2:4
May 31, 2026 Mineiro 2
Boa vs Guarani-MG
1:0
Jan 23, 2019 Mineiro
Boa vs Guarani-MG
2:2
Mar 19, 2016 Mineiro
Guarani-MG vs Boa
2:2
Mar 22, 2015 Mineiro
Boa vs Guarani-MG
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Felipe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Boa Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick
2 Goals
Assists Leader Albaceta D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani-MG 42 / 100
Boa 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani-MG Boa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Boa let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Guarani-MG remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Guarani-MG scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarani-MG VS Boa
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberaba1072117:923
2Boa1052312:917
3Mamore103348:912
4Patrocinense103349:912
5Guarani-MG1033412:1412
6Caldense101366:146
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Valeriodoce105509:420
2Democrata SL1052319:1017
3Aymores1044217:916
4Villa Nova AC1042417:1214
5Coimbra Esporte Clube1024412:1210
6Ipatinga101186:33-2