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Guarani-MG vs Boa

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Patrick
16' Event
Albaceta D.
39' Event
Juan Carlos

AI Match Summary

Boa in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guarani-MG
20%
Draws
40%
Boa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Boa at 1.43 per game, Guarani-MG at 1.33.
  • Guarani-MG are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 68%
Boa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani-MG Boa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Boa
2:4
May 31, 2026 Mineiro 2
Boa vs Guarani-MG
1:0
Jan 23, 2019 Mineiro
Boa vs Guarani-MG
2:2
Mar 19, 2016 Mineiro
Guarani-MG vs Boa
2:2
Mar 22, 2015 Mineiro
Boa vs Guarani-MG
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Felipe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Boa Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick
2 Goals
Assists Leader Albaceta D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani-MG 51 / 100
Boa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani-MG Boa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Boa let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Guarani-MG remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Guarani-MG scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarani-MG VS Boa
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani-MG

(Home)
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Mamore
2 : 2
Guarani-MG
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Uberaba
2 : 1
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 6

Boa

(Away)
26 Jul
Boa
1 : 1
Aymores
18 Jul
Aymores
2 : 0
Boa
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)