Sport Picks

Brazil

Mineiro 2

Guarani-MG

2 - 0

Caldense

Our Tip

Match Events

82'

Pedro Felipe

(Penalty)

90'

Maycon Rangel

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guarani-MG in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarani-MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Guarani-MG

Draws

Caldense

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarani-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Caldense haven't matched Guarani-MG's recent run of results.
Model gives Guarani-MG a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 20%

Caldense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guarani-MG	Caldense
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	5
Draws	7	13
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Mineiro 2

Guarani-MG vs Caldense

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Jun 17, 2026 Mineiro 2

Caldense vs Guarani-MG

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Jan 30, 2019 Mineiro

Guarani-MG vs Caldense

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Mar 26, 2016 Mineiro

Guarani-MG vs Caldense

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Feb 21, 2015 Mineiro

Caldense vs Guarani-MG

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani-MG 85 / 100

Caldense 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guarani-MG Caldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Caldense registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Caldense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Guarani-MG remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Guarani-MG scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani-MG VS Caldense

1 Goals Scored 0.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uberaba	10	7	2	1	17:9	23
2	Boa	10	5	2	3	12:9	17
3	Mamore	10	3	3	4	8:9	12
4	Patrocinense	10	3	3	4	9:9	12
5	Guarani-MG	10	3	3	4	12:14	12
6	Caldense	10	1	3	6	6:14	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Valeriodoce	10	5	5	0	9:4	20
2	Democrata SL	10	5	2	3	19:10	17
3	Aymores	10	4	4	2	17:9	16
4	Villa Nova AC	10	4	2	4	17:12	14
5	Coimbra Esporte Clube	10	2	4	4	12:12	10
6	Ipatinga	10	1	1	8	6:33	-2