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Guarani-MG vs Caldense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG Logo

Guarani-MG

2 - 0
FT
Caldense Logo

Caldense

Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Pedro Felipe
(Penalty)
90' Event
Maycon Rangel
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guarani-MG in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarani-MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Guarani-MG
15%
Draws
0%
Caldense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Caldense haven't matched Guarani-MG's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Guarani-MG a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 20%
Caldense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani-MG Caldense
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 7 13
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.49 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Caldense
2:0
Jun 17, 2026 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Guarani-MG
0:0
Jan 30, 2019 Mineiro
Guarani-MG vs Caldense
0:0
Mar 26, 2016 Mineiro
Guarani-MG vs Caldense
1:0
Feb 21, 2015 Mineiro
Caldense vs Guarani-MG
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani-MG 85 / 100
Caldense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani-MG Caldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani-MG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Caldense registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Caldense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Guarani-MG remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Guarani-MG scored in 54% of their last 37 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani-MG VS Caldense
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani-MG

(Home)
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Mamore
2 : 2
Guarani-MG
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Uberaba
2 : 1
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 8

Caldense

(Away)
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Mamore
1 : 0
Caldense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)