Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Guarani-MG in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarani-MG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani-MG
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Guarani-MG lately — more wins on the board than Tres Coracoes.
- Guarani-MG are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Guarani-MG have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 20%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarani-MG | Tres Coracoes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2024 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Guarani-MG
0:3
Sep 2, 2024 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Tres Coracoes
2:0
Oct 14, 2023 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Tres Coracoes
2:0
Sep 11, 2023 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Guarani-MG
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarani-MG 85 / 100
Tres Coracoes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarani-MG Tres Coracoes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarani-MG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tres Coracoes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Guarani-MG went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tres Coracoes lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guarani-MG VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarani-MG
(Home) 12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4 Boa
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1 Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Mamore
2 : 2 Guarani-MG
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0 Caldense
23 Jun
Uberaba
2 : 1 Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4 Boa
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0 Caldense
20 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 2 Uberaba
13 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 1 Mamore
06 Jun
Guarani-MG
0 : 2 Patrocinense
Page 1 of 4
Tres Coracoes
(Away) 19 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3 Guarani-MG
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0 Tres Coracoes
07 Oct
Tres Coracoes
0 : 3 Villa Real
02 Oct
Tres Coracoes
2 : 1 Tupynambas
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 2 Tres Coracoes
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0 Tres Coracoes
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 2 Tres Coracoes
18 Sept
Tupynambas
8 : 0 Tres Coracoes
15 Sept
Villa Real
2 : 0 Tres Coracoes
02 Sept
Guarani-MG
2 : 0 Tres Coracoes
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America TO | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Valeriodoce | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Juventus Minasnovense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Boston City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani-MG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Pocos de Caldas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Villa Real | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Tres Coracoes | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Contagem | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Coimbra Esporte Clube | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Inter de Minas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Serranense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:19 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamore | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Araxa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Paracatu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 4 | Nacional Uberaba | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Pirapora | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
