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Guarani U20 vs Corinthians U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Paulista U20. Little to choose between these two on current form. Corinthians U20 have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Guarani U20 have conceded 0.83 and scored 1.9. Past meetings favor Guarani U20 slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 13, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.44) back Guarani U20 to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Guarani U20
20%
Draws
45%
Corinthians U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Corinthians U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Corinthians U20 haven't matched Guarani U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Guarani U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Corinthians U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani U20 Corinthians U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 20 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.9 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Copinha
Corinthians U20 vs Guarani U20
1:2
Jan 12, 2024 Copinha
Corinthians U20 vs Guarani U20
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani U20 31 / 100
Corinthians U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani U20 Corinthians U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corinthians U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guarani U20 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Guarani U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Corinthians U20 has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarani U20 VS Corinthians U20
2.25 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani U20

(Home)
16 Oct
Guarani U20
2 : 0
Sfera U20
09 Oct
Sfera U20
2 : 1
Guarani U20
25 Sept
Guarani U20
4 : 1
Uniao Suzano U20
18 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 1
Guarani U20
12 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 5
Guarani U20
Page 1 of 6

Corinthians U20

(Away)
16 Oct
Corinthians U20
6 : 1
Portuguesa Santista U20
09 Oct
Portuguesa Santista U20
0 : 0
Corinthians U20
25 Sept
Corinthians U20
2 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 3
Corinthians U20
12 Sept
Corinthians U20
4 : 0
America SP U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flamengo SP U20 3
Ferroviaria U20 2
CA Bandeirante U20 1
Bragantino U20 11
Portuguesa Santista U20 3
Novorizontino U20 2
XV de Jau U20 2
Corinthians U20 5
Piracicaba U20 1
Sfera U20 2
Uniao Suzano U20 2
Guarani U20 5
Sertaozinho U20 1
Santo Andre U20 4
Gremio Prudente U20 0
CA Juventus U20 4
Capivariano U20 2
Agua Santa U20 1
Paulinense U20 3
Ibrachina U20 5
Osasco Sporting U20 3
Desportivo U20 5
EC Sao Bernardo U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 2
Ponte Preta U20 6
Portuguesa U20 1
Jabaquara U20 1
Santos U20 6
Botafogo SP U20 4
Osasco Audax U20 1
Ituano U20 2
Palmeiras U20 3
1/8-finals
Flamengo SP U20 0
Bragantino U20 9
Portuguesa Santista U20 1
Corinthians U20 6
Sfera U20 2
Guarani U20 3
Santo Andre U20 5
CA Juventus U20 4
Capivariano U20 3
Ibrachina U20 2
Desportivo U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 4
Ponte Preta U20 2
Santos U20 4
Botafogo SP U20 0
Palmeiras U20 4
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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