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Guarani U20 vs Ituano U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Guarani U20 Logo

Guarani U20

2 - 1
FT
Ituano U20 Logo

Ituano U20

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Tarso F.
22' Event
Renan M.
86' Event
Bortolucci
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guarani U20 in this Paulista U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarani U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Guarani U20
20%
Draws
23%
Ituano U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarani U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ituano U20 haven't matched Guarani U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guarani U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guarani U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ituano U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani U20 Ituano U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs Ituano U20
2:1
Aug 18, 2023 Paulista U20
Ituano U20 vs Guarani U20
1:1
Jun 29, 2023 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs Ituano U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarso F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bortolucci
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ituano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Renan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani U20 58 / 100
Ituano U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani U20 Ituano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guarani U20 scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Ituano U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Guarani U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarani U20 VS Ituano U20
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani U20

(Home)
16 Oct
Guarani U20
2 : 0
Sfera U20
09 Oct
Sfera U20
2 : 1
Guarani U20
25 Sept
Guarani U20
4 : 1
Uniao Suzano U20
18 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 1
Guarani U20
12 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 5
Guarani U20
Page 1 of 7

Ituano U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Palmeiras U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
21 Sept
Ituano U20
1 : 1
Palmeiras U20
12 Sept
Ituano U20
3 : 0
Flamengo SP U20
04 Sept
Sfera U20
5 : 2
Ituano U20
21 Aug
Guarani U20
2 : 1
Ituano U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)