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Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Sfera U20 have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Guarani U20 have conceded 0.84 and scored 1.91. Past meetings favor Guarani U20 slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.06) back Guarani U20 to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Guarani U20
15%
Draws
40%
Sfera U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sfera U20 haven't matched Guarani U20's recent run of results.
  • Guarani U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Guarani U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Guarani U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Sfera U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani U20 Sfera U20
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 22 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.91 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Paulista U20
Sfera U20 vs Guarani U20
2:1
Jul 3, 2026 Paulista U20
Guarani U20 vs Sfera U20
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani U20 85 / 100
Sfera U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani U20 Sfera U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani U20's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Sfera U20 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Guarani U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani U20 VS Sfera U20
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani U20

(Home)
09 Oct
Sfera U20
2 : 1
Guarani U20
25 Sept
Guarani U20
4 : 1
Uniao Suzano U20
18 Sept
Uniao Suzano U20
1 : 1
Guarani U20
12 Sept
Gremio Prudente U20
1 : 5
Guarani U20
04 Sept
Guarani U20
3 : 0
XV de Jau U20
Page 1 of 7

Sfera U20

(Away)
09 Oct
Sfera U20
2 : 1
Guarani U20
25 Sept
Sfera U20
2 : 0
Piracicaba U20
18 Sept
Piracicaba U20
1 : 0
Sfera U20
12 Sept
Palmeiras U20
3 : 0
Sfera U20
04 Sept
Sfera U20
5 : 2
Ituano U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flamengo SP U20 3
Ferroviaria U20 2
CA Bandeirante U20 1
Bragantino U20 11
Portuguesa Santista U20 3
Novorizontino U20 2
XV de Jau U20 2
Corinthians U20 5
Piracicaba U20 1
Sfera U20 2
Uniao Suzano U20 2
Guarani U20 5
Sertaozinho U20 1
Santo Andre U20 4
Gremio Prudente U20 0
CA Juventus U20 4
Capivariano U20 2
Agua Santa U20 1
Paulinense U20 3
Ibrachina U20 5
Osasco Sporting U20 3
Desportivo U20 5
EC Sao Bernardo U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 2
Ponte Preta U20 6
Portuguesa U20 1
Jabaquara U20 1
Santos U20 6
Botafogo SP U20 4
Osasco Audax U20 1
Ituano U20 2
Palmeiras U20 3
1/8-finals
Flamengo SP U20 0
Bragantino U20 0
Portuguesa Santista U20 0
Corinthians U20 0
Sfera U20 2
Guarani U20 1
Santo Andre U20 3
CA Juventus U20 1
Capivariano U20 0
Ibrachina U20 0
Desportivo U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 -
Ponte Preta U20 -
Santos U20 -
Botafogo SP U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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