Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarani vs 2 de Mayo

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Ramirez I.
Assist: Rodriguez D.
46'
Sub
Riquelme H. In: Colman O.
Out: Riquelme H.
46'
Sub
Rodriguez D. In: Fernandez D.
Out: Rodriguez D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa de Primera tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guarani
44%
Draws
20%
2 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • 2 de Mayo haven't matched Guarani's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Guarani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guarani Clean Sheet 24%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani 2 de Mayo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
2:2
Mar 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Copa Paraguay
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
1:0
Jul 6, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs 2 de Mayo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

2 de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani 37 / 100
2 de Mayo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani 2 de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guarani scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: 2 de Mayo conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Guarani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarani VS 2 de Mayo
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani

(Home)
30 Jul
San Lorenzo
0 : 1
Guarani
26 Jul
Guarani
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
23 May
Recoleta
2 : 1
Guarani
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0
Sportivo Ameliano
11 May
Cerro Porteno
0 : 0
Guarani
Page 1 of 6

2 de Mayo

(Away)
28 Jul
2 de Mayo
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
24 Jul
2 de Mayo
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
22 May
2 de Mayo
0 : 1
San Lorenzo
14 May
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 0
2 de Mayo
09 May
2 de Mayo
2 : 0
Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)