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Guarani vs 2 de Mayo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Guarani at 1.03 goals for, 0.86 against; 2 de Mayo at 1.17 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor 2 de Mayo slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 25, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 0.69) back 2 de Mayo to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Guarani
35%
Draws
28%
2 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Guarani haven't matched 2 de Mayo's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Guarani taking it.
  • 2 de Mayo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guarani Clean Sheet 20%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani 2 de Mayo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
2:2
Mar 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Copa Paraguay
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani 76 / 100
2 de Mayo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani 2 de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Guarani stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Guarani scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

2 de Mayo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Guarani VS 2 de Mayo
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani

(Home)
11 Oct
Libertad Asuncion
2 : 2
Guarani
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 6

2 de Mayo

(Away)
12 Oct
2 de Mayo
1 : 0
Sportivo Ameliano
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4
Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 2 de Mayo 14 8 4 2 17:13 28
2 Olimpia Asuncion 14 8 3 3 22:10 27
3 Libertad Asuncion 14 8 3 3 23:16 27
4 Nacional Asuncion 14 7 5 2 21:8 26
5 Sportivo Trinidense 14 7 3 4 24:14 24
6 Guarani 14 5 7 2 16:12 22
7 Cerro Porteno 14 6 2 6 18:14 20
8 Sportivo Ameliano 14 4 6 4 15:16 18
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 4 1 9 14:27 13
10 Rubio Nu 14 3 4 7 15:24 13
11 Recoleta 14 2 2 10 14:27 8
12 San Lorenzo 14 0 4 10 5:23 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)