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Guarani vs Juventud

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción
Guarani Logo

Guarani

1 - 2
FT
Juventud Logo

Juventud

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sub
Pernicone P. In: Caceres M.
Out: Pernicone P.
47'
Zaracho S.
50' Event
Barrandeguy F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Guarani
35%
Draws
31%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Juventud have won more games recently than Guarani.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Juventud arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Juventud, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
Juventud Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani Juventud
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Guarani vs Juventud
1:2
Feb 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Juventud vs Guarani
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrandeguy F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Peralta R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani 41 / 100
Juventud 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Guarani remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Guarani scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Juventud let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Guarani VS Juventud
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani

(Home)
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0
Recoleta
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Guarani
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6

Juventud

(Away)
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0
Juventud
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Juventud 5
U. Catolica 4
TBD -
Guarani -
Liverpool M. -
TBD -
TBD -
Ind. Medellin -
The Strongest 2
Dep. Tachira 3
TBD -
Deportes Tolima -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Bahia -
2 de Mayo 2
A. Lima 1
TBD -
Sporting Cristal -
Carabobo -
TBD -
TBD -
Huachipato -
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Argentinos Jrs -
Nacional Potosi -
TBD -
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
Semi-finals
Juventud 2
Guarani 1
Liverpool M. 1
Ind. Medellin 2
Dep. Tachira 1
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 3
Bahia 2
2 de Mayo 2
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 3
Huachipato 1
Barcelona SC 2
Argentinos Jrs 1
Nacional Potosi 1
Botafogo RJ 2
Final
Juventud 2
Ind. Medellin 3
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 1
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 2
Barcelona SC 2
Botafogo RJ 1