Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Garcia J.
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Parzajuk K. In: Rios P.
Out: Parzajuk K.
46'
46'
Sub
Marotta N. In: Mosquera D.
Out: Marotta N.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Recoleta have won more games recently than Guarani.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Guarani taking it.
- Recoleta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Guarani have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Guarani Clean Sheet 20%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarani | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Recoleta
2:0
May 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Guarani
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Recoleta
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Recoleta
2:1
Aug 4, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Guarani
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Servin T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Recoleta Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarani 85 / 100
Recoleta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarani Recoleta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recoleta let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Guarani went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Guarani scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Guarani VS Recoleta
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarani
(Home) 12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
25 Aug
2 de Mayo
0 : 0 Guarani
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
15 Aug
Guarani
2 : 3 Rubio Nu
02 Aug
Guarani
2 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
Recoleta
(Away) 12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
26 Aug
Deportivo Santani
0 : 2 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
26 Aug
Deportivo Santani
0 : 2 Recoleta
22 Aug
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 1 Recoleta
11 Aug
Boca Juniors
3 : 1 Recoleta
07 Aug
Rubio Nu
1 : 3 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:11 | 22 |
| 2 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Olimpia Asuncion | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Sportivo Ameliano | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 16 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Guarani | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:20 | 10 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
