Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarani vs Rubio Nu

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Rogelio Livieres
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Torales R.
36'
Lopez M.
46'
Sub
Manzur A. In: Llano J.
Out: Manzur A.

AI Match Summary

Guarani in this Copa de Primera matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Guarani
20%
Draws
38%
Rubio Nu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Rubio Nu have won more games recently than Guarani.
  • Guarani are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de Primera fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Guarani have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Guarani Clean Sheet 20%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani Rubio Nu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Guarani
0:2
Feb 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
4:0
Nov 12, 2017 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Sep 1, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Guarani
0:1
Jun 18, 2017 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Torales R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Rubio Nu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani 42 / 100
Rubio Nu 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani Rubio Nu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Guarani has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rubio Nu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarani VS Rubio Nu
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115