Sport Picks
Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción 
Match Events
16'
16'
Ocampos C.
Assist: Paez E.
52'
52'
Rodriguez W.
53'
53'
Lopez M.
Assist: Llano J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Sportivo Ameliano haven't matched Guarani's recent run of results.
- Guarani are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Guarani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarani | Sportivo Ameliano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
May 16, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Guarani
0:0
Oct 12, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Guarani
1:1
Jul 31, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Sportivo Ameliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Ocampos C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarani 50 / 100
Sportivo Ameliano 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarani Sportivo Ameliano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Ameliano let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Guarani stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Guarani found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Guarani VS Sportivo Ameliano
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarani
(Home) 03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
15 Aug
Guarani
2 : 3 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Ameliano
(Away) 06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Rubio Nu
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
16 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
