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Guarany Alagoano vs Coruripe Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Marques do Nascimento Ferreira C.
29' Event
Max
71' Event
Miqueias

AI Match Summary

Coruripe in this Copa Alagoas 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guarany Alagoano
30%
Draws
39%
Coruripe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coruripe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarany Alagoano lately — more wins on the board than Coruripe.
  • Guarany Alagoano are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Guarany Alagoano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coruripe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Guarany Alagoano Clean Sheet 68%
Coruripe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany Alagoano Coruripe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.57 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Guarany Alagoano vs Coruripe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany Alagoano Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques do Nascimento Ferreira C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Coruripe Compare

Top Goalscorer Max
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miqueias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany Alagoano 86 / 100
Coruripe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany Alagoano Coruripe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarany Alagoano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany Alagoano found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Coruripe conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Guarany Alagoano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarany Alagoano VS Coruripe
1.86 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany Alagoano

(Home)
18 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
2 : 2
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
12 Oct
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Guarany Alagoano
04 Oct
Guarany Alagoano
1 : 1
Agrimaq
27 Sept
Agrimaq
0 : 2
Guarany Alagoano
21 Sept
Miguelense
1 : 4
Guarany Alagoano
Page 1 of 6

Coruripe

(Away)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
14 Mar
CRB
5 : 1
Coruripe
12 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CSA
07 Feb
Coruripe
2 : 1
CRB
04 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 2
Coruripe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Penedense 6 4 1 1 19:3 13
2 Coruripe 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
3 CRB 6 3 2 1 13:2 11
4 Zumbi 6 3 2 1 12:3 11
5 Murici 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
6 Dimensao Capela 6 2 0 4 6:13 6
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 6 6 0 0 11:1 18
2 CSA 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
3 ASA 6 2 1 3 8:5 7
4 Guarany Alagoano 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
5 Igaci 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
6 Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 6 0 0 6 1:29 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)