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Guarany de Bage vs Monsoon

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho Estádio Estrela d'Alva, Bage
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Jean Martim
46'
Sub
Jean Martim In: Marcao
Out: Jean Martim
54'
Sub
Medina F. In: Camargo
Out: Medina F.

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho game between Guarany de Bage and Monsoon finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Guarany de Bage
30%
Draws
31%
Monsoon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarany de Bage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarany de Bage come out ahead of Monsoon on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Gaucho form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 68%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany de Bage Monsoon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 13
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Guarany de Bage
2:0
Feb 6, 2026 Gaucho
Guarany de Bage vs Monsoon
0:0
Jan 10, 2026 Gaucho
Guarany de Bage vs Monsoon
1:1
Feb 7, 2025 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Guarany de Bage
1:3
Aug 13, 2023 Gaucho 2
Monsoon vs Guarany de Bage
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany de Bage 41 / 100
Monsoon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany de Bage Monsoon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monsoon has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Guarany de Bage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Monsoon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarany de Bage VS Monsoon
0.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany de Bage

(Home)
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1
Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
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Monsoon

(Away)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
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