Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarany SC vs Caucaia

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ailton

AI Match Summary

Caucaia in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caucaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Guarany SC
15%
Draws
26%
Caucaia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarany SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caucaia lately — more wins on the board than Guarany SC.
  • Win probability leans Guarany SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Guarany SC Clean Sheet 68%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany SC Caucaia
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.12 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Guarany SC
1:4
Mar 29, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarany SC vs Caucaia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Caucaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ailton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany SC 95 / 100
Caucaia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany SC Caucaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany SC found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (17 games).

Defensive concern: Caucaia conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Guarany SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarany SC VS Caucaia
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany SC

(Home)
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
21 Apr
Guarany SC
1 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 4

Caucaia

(Away)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)