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Guarany SC vs Itapipoca

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Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Pio
65' Event
Pio
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Guarany SC and Itapipoca finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Guarany SC
20%
Draws
38%
Itapipoca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarany SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itapipoca come out ahead of Guarany SC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guarany SC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Guarany SC Clean Sheet 68%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany SC Itapipoca
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.12 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarany SC vs Itapipoca
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Guarany SC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Itapipoca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany SC 50 / 100
Itapipoca 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany SC Itapipoca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Guarany SC found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (17 games).

Itapipoca has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Guarany SC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarany SC VS Itapipoca
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany SC

(Home)
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
21 Apr
Guarany SC
1 : 0
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 4

Itapipoca

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)