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Guarany SC vs Vila Real

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 3 2025
Guarany SC Logo

Guarany SC

0 - 1
FT
Vila Real Logo

Vila Real

Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Janeudo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vila Real in this Cearense 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Guarany SC
15%
Draws
50%
Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vila Real lately — more wins on the board than Guarany SC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Guarany SC Clean Sheet 20%
Vila Real Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany SC Vila Real
Matches Played 17 18
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.12 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.94 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Cearense 3
Guarany SC vs Vila Real
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 Cearense 3
Vila Real vs Guarany SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Janeudo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany SC 32 / 100
Vila Real 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany SC Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarany SC's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vila Real conceded in 67% of 18 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Guarany SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarany SC VS Vila Real
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany SC

(Home)
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
09 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Guarany SC
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
21 Apr
Guarany SC
1 : 0
Atletico Cearense
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Vila Real

(Away)
19 Sept
Vila Real
1 : 0
Pacatuba
12 Sept
Pacatuba
1 : 1
Vila Real
05 Sept
Tiangua EC
0 : 1
Vila Real
22 Aug
Vila Real
3 : 2
Acopiara
15 Aug
Calouros do Ar
1 : 2
Vila Real
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crateus 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Guarany SC 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Vila Real 6 2 2 2 5:3 8
4 Esporte Limoeiro 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Cearense 3 2025 (Play Offs)