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Guarany SE vs Caninde

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Guarany SE and Caninde finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Guarany SE
15%
Draws
59%
Caninde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caninde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarany SE come out ahead of Caninde on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Caninde's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Guarany SE have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guarany SE Clean Sheet 15%
Caninde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany SE Caninde
Matches Played 37 22
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.51 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Sergipano 2
Guarany SE vs Caninde
5:0
Oct 9, 2024 Sergipano 2
Caninde vs Guarany SE
4:2
Aug 24, 2024 Sergipano 2
Guarany SE vs Caninde
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany SE 27 / 100
Caninde 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany SE Caninde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caninde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Guarany SE scored in 65% of their last 37 games.

Defensive concern: Caninde conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

Guarany SE has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarany SE VS Caninde
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.2
63% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany SE

(Home)
13 Aug
Guarany SE
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3
Guarany SE
05 Aug
Lagarto
2 : 0
Guarany SE
01 Aug
Guarany SE
1 : 1
Atletico Gloriense
29 Jul
Falcon
3 : 0
Guarany SE
Page 1 of 8

Caninde

(Away)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
Caninde
1 : 7
Olimpico EC
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0
Flamengo SE
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 5 4 1 0 14:2 13
2 America de Pedrinhas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
3 Desportiva Aracaju 5 4 0 1 16:5 12
4 Frei Paulistano 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
5 Flamengo SE 5 0 1 4 3:16 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra SE 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
2 Atletico Central 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
3 Independente SE 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
4 Boca Junior 5 1 1 3 7:12 4
5 Caninde 5 1 0 4 8:20 3
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)