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Guarda Desportiva vs Lusitania FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 game between Guarda Desportiva and Lusitania FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitania FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Guarda Desportiva
6%
Draws
90%
Lusitania FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lusitania FC come out ahead of Guarda Desportiva on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Lusitania FC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guarda Desportiva Clean Sheet 20%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarda Desportiva Lusitania FC
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 2 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda Desportiva vs Lusitania FC
0:2
Oct 30, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Lusitania FC vs Guarda Desportiva
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarda Desportiva 10 / 100
Lusitania FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarda Desportiva Lusitania FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Lusitania FC let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Lusitania FC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Guarda Desportiva's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lusitania FC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarda Desportiva

(Home)
16 Apr
Valadares Gaia FC
1 : 1
Guarda Desportiva
08 Apr
Guarda Desportiva
1 : 2
Camacha
04 Apr
Machico
3 : 0
Guarda Desportiva
19 Mar
Guarda Desportiva
1 : 5
Leca
12 Mar
Castro Daire
4 : 0
Guarda Desportiva
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Lusitania FC

(Away)
25 Jul
Lusitania FC
1 : 0
Academico Viseu
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2
Braga B
15 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Lusitania FC
17 May
Leixoes
2 : 1
Lusitania FC
09 May
Lusitania FC
1 : 2
Torreense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Salgueiros26157439:2552
2Lusitania FC26157449:2352
3Rebordosa26149342:2351
4Beira Mar26139435:2148
5Maritimo B26127739:2643
6Valadares Gaia FC261010639:2940
7Gondomar26108833:3238
8Camacha26971030:3434
9Leca261031329:2933
10Machico26781131:4029
11FC Alpendorada26851330:4329
12Castro Daire26481423:3420
13GD Resende26451730:5017
14Guarda Desportiva26251921:618
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)