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Guarda FC vs AD Marco 09

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Santos S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 game between Guarda FC and AD Marco 09 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarda FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Guarda FC
17%
Draws
70%
AD Marco 09
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Marco 09 come out ahead of Guarda FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans AD Marco 09's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Guarda FC Clean Sheet 21%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarda FC AD Marco 09
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda FC vs AD Marco 09
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
AD Marco 09 vs Guarda FC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarda FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

AD Marco 09 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarda FC 16 / 100
AD Marco 09 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarda FC AD Marco 09

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Marco 09 let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Guarda FC found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Guarda FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Marco 09
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leca26195252:1762
2AD Marco 0926165535:1653
3SC Salgueiros26165539:1853
4Cinfaes26118733:2541
5Beira Mar26109731:2839
6Uniao Lamas261151031:2738
7FC Alpendorada261061026:2436
8Machico2698928:2735
9Camacha26811730:3535
10Guarda FC26951226:3032
11Gondomar26871116:2831
12Coimbroes26561524:4321
13Maritimo B26451725:4917
14Regua26152016:458