Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarda FC vs Camacha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Silva P. A. C.
34' Event
Pereira V. O.
47' Event
Machado N.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between Guarda FC and Camacha finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Guarda FC
20%
Draws
57%
Camacha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Camacha come out ahead of Guarda FC on wins alone.
  • Guarda FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Guarda FC Clean Sheet 16%
Camacha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarda FC Camacha
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.53 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda FC vs Camacha
2:2
Jan 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs Guarda FC
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda FC vs Camacha
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarda FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bondo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Camacha Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva P. A. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira V. O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarda FC 41 / 100
Camacha 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarda FC Camacha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Guarda FC's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Camacha let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Guarda FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarda FC VS Camacha
1.43 Goals Scored 1.63
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.63
43% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarda FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Guarda FC
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Uniao Lamas
1 : 0
Guarda FC
30 Aug
Ac. Fundao
0 : 6
Guarda FC
Page 1 of 6

Camacha

(Away)
27 Sept
Camacha
0 : 1
Florgrade
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Sanjoanense 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
5 Castro Daire 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
6 Florgrade 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
7 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 Cinfaes 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
9 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Estrela Calheta 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
13 Guarda FC 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)