Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Guarda FC play Machico in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guarda FC averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Machico averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Guarda FC won 1, Machico won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 16, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Guarda FC and 0.99 for Machico. This points to a Machico double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guarda FC picked up more points recently compared to Machico.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.99 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarda FC | Machico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 38 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.16 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarda FC Compare
Machico Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guarda FC scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Machico let in goals in 63% of their last 38 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Guarda FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Machico lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leca | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 52:17 | 62 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 35:16 | 53 |
| 3 | SC Salgueiros | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 39:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Cinfaes | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:25 | 41 |
| 5 | Beira Mar | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 31:28 | 39 |
| 6 | Uniao Lamas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 31:27 | 38 |
| 7 | FC Alpendorada | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 26:24 | 36 |
| 8 | Machico | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:27 | 35 |
| 9 | Camacha | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 30:35 | 35 |
| 10 | Guarda FC | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:30 | 32 |
| 11 | Gondomar | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 16:28 | 31 |
| 12 | Coimbroes | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:43 | 21 |
| 13 | Maritimo B | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25:49 | 17 |
| 14 | Regua | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 16:45 | 8 |