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Guariba vs Barretos EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2011 game between Guariba and Barretos EC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Guariba
22%
Draws
18%
Barretos EC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Guariba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guariba come out ahead of Barretos EC on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Guariba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Guariba Clean Sheet 20%
Barretos EC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guariba Barretos EC
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 14
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2014 Paulista A4
Guariba vs Barretos EC
1:0
Aug 1, 2014 Paulista A4
Barretos EC vs Guariba
1:1
Jul 31, 2011 Paulista A4
Guariba vs Barretos EC
1:1
Jun 10, 2011 Paulista A4
Barretos EC vs Guariba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guariba 58 / 100
Barretos EC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guariba Barretos EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guariba's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Barretos EC let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Solid form: Guariba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barretos EC
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guariba

(Home)
21 Sept
Guariba
2 : 1
Paulinia
17 Sept
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0
Guariba
13 Sept
Gremio Prudente
3 : 4
Guariba
07 Sept
Guariba
4 : 3
Gremio Prudente
03 Sept
Guariba
0 : 1
Portuguesa Santista
Page 1 of 7

Barretos EC

(Away)
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0
Nacional SP
25 Mar
Penapolense
1 : 1
Barretos EC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Votuporanguense1255217:1420
2Bandeirante1255218:1120
3Fernandopolis1254314:719
4Tupa1245312:1317
5Jose Bonifacio EC1235413:1214
6Tanabi122558:1311
7Assisense123189:2110
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barretos EC1275025:1226
2Guariba1264223:1122
3Ole Brasil1270520:1721
4Olimpia FC1253419:1218
5Jaboticabal Atletico1253426:2218
6Americo EC1221921:317
7Matonense121297:365
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independente SP1082017:326
2Palmeirinha SP1054117:619
3Guacuano1053211:718
4Brasilis1042416:1214
5Sao Judas Tadeu101189:184
6Lencoense101099:333
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportivo1491426:1628
2Sumare1474318:1325
3Cotia1465327:2323
4Capivariano1456330:2021
5Primavera EC1455417:1520
6SKA Brasil1453618:1818
7Lemense1442816:3014
8Elosport14121112:295
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarulhos14100427:1630
2Jacarei (Inactive)1483321:1327
3FC Primeira Camisa1466225:1324
4ECUS SP1462612:1520
5Uniao Suzano1454521:1819
6Jacarei FC1453614:1818
7Manthiqueira1424810:2210
8Uniao Mogi14221013:288
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista14101321:731
2Sao Vicente1492329:1929
3EC Sao Bernardo1482426:1426
4Guaruja1472519:1623
5Mauaense1464427:1722
6Jabaquara1470721:2421
7Nacional SP14121116:325
8Palestra1411128:384
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)