Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2012

Guariba

1 - 1

Tupa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Guariba

15%

Draws

21%

Tupa

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guariba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Guariba average 1.7 goals a game right now, well clear of Tupa's 1.33.
Guariba are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Guariba Clean Sheet 19%

Tupa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guariba	Tupa
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	13
Draws	6	4
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.7	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	1.54	1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2012 Paulista A4

Tupa vs Guariba

1:0

Jul 18, 2012 Paulista A4

Guariba vs Tupa

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guariba 76 / 100

Tupa 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guariba Tupa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guariba Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guariba's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tupa let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Guariba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tupa

0 Goals Scored 1.5

0 Goals Conceded 1.88

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guariba

(Home)

21 Sept

Guariba

2 : 1

Paulinia

17 Sept

Portuguesa Santista

2 : 0

Guariba

13 Sept

Gremio Prudente

3 : 4

Guariba

07 Sept

Guariba

4 : 3

Gremio Prudente

03 Sept

Guariba

0 : 1

Portuguesa Santista

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Tupa

(Away)

05 Jul

Independente SP

2 : 0

Tupa

28 Jun

Tupa

0 : 2

Independente SP

20 Jun

Tupa

1 : 2

Santa Fe SP

14 Jun

Riopretano

0 : 1

Tupa

06 Jun

America SP

3 : 1

Tupa

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