Sport Picks
Guarnizo vs Escuela Meruelo
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
Guarnizo in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarnizo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarnizo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Guarnizo have won more games recently than Escuela Meruelo.
- Win probability leans Guarnizo's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Guarnizo have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 20%
Escuela Meruelo Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarnizo | Escuela Meruelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Escuela Meruelo vs Guarnizo
0:5
Nov 19, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Escuela Meruelo
2:1
Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Escuela Meruelo
2:1
Nov 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Escuela Meruelo vs Guarnizo
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarnizo 40 / 100
Escuela Meruelo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarnizo Escuela Meruelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarnizo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guarnizo scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Escuela Meruelo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Escuela Meruelo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Guarnizo VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarnizo
(Home) 20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0 CD Tropezon
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12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0 CD Tropezon
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2 Torina
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1 SD Noja
02 Apr
Guarnizo
1 : 0 Cayon CD
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Escuela Meruelo
(Away) 13 May
Escuela Meruelo
3 : 4 Velarde
06 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 0 Escuela Meruelo
30 Apr
Escuela Meruelo
1 : 2 Barreda Balompie
23 Apr
CD Tropezon
2 : 0 Escuela Meruelo
13 Apr
Escuela Meruelo
0 : 5 Guarnizo
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06 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 0 Escuela Meruelo
23 Apr
CD Tropezon
2 : 0 Escuela Meruelo
09 Apr
Vimenor
2 : 4 Escuela Meruelo
26 Mar
CD Colindres
2 : 3 Escuela Meruelo
05 Mar
CD Revilla
3 : 1 Escuela Meruelo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Tropezon | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 87:32 | 83 |
| 2 | Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 76:27 | 83 |
| 3 | Cayon CD | 38 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 50:22 | 73 |
| 4 | CD Laredo | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54:30 | 68 |
| 5 | Castro | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 52:33 | 68 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:43 | 61 |
| 7 | Barreda Balompie | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 50:44 | 60 |
| 8 | Santona | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 53:51 | 58 |
| 9 | CD Siete Villas | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 48:49 | 53 |
| 10 | Guarnizo | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 45:41 | 52 |
| 11 | UM Escobedo | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 67:54 | 51 |
| 12 | Gama | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 35:42 | 50 |
| 13 | Bezana | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 42:47 | 47 |
| 14 | Atletico Albericia | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 50:51 | 47 |
| 15 | Pontejos | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 45:55 | 47 |
| 16 | Ribamontan al Mar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 42:51 | 45 |
| 17 | Deportiva Santillana | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 43:65 | 36 |
| 18 | Textil Escudo | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 35:69 | 30 |
| 19 | Escuela Meruelo | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 33:85 | 22 |
| 20 | San Martin Arena | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 16:85 | 12 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
