Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Laherran C.
47'
47'
Ruiz Morales D.
79'
79'
Gonzalez Cagigas V.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Guarnizo and Gama finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
20%
65%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gama
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Gama haven't matched Guarnizo's recent run of results.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Gama taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 20%
Gama Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarnizo | Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Gama
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Guarnizo
2:2
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Guarnizo
0:0
Dec 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Gama
2:0
Apr 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Gama
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarnizo Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Cagigas V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perez Victor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Gama Compare
Top Goalscorer Laherran C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ruiz Morales D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarnizo 28 / 100
Gama 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarnizo Gama
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guarnizo scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Gama let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Guarnizo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Guarnizo VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarnizo
(Home) 12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0 CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1 Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0 CD Tropezon
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2 Torina
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1 SD Noja
02 Apr
Guarnizo
1 : 0 Cayon CD
Page 1 of 3
Gama
(Away) 10 May
Bezana
0 : 3 Gama
04 May
Gama
4 : 2 CD Revilla
26 Apr
CD Colindres
4 : 0 Gama
20 Apr
Gama
3 : 4 Castro
13 Apr
CD Siete Villas
1 : 3 Gama
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Bezana
0 : 3 Gama
26 Apr
CD Colindres
4 : 0 Gama
13 Apr
CD Siete Villas
1 : 3 Gama
29 Mar
Guarnizo
2 : 2 Gama
16 Mar
CD Barquereno
0 : 0 Gama
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Samano | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:22 | 70 |
| 2 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 58:30 | 67 |
| 3 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 64:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Cayon CD | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 61:41 | 62 |
| 5 | Castro | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 45:26 | 59 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 63:42 | 57 |
| 7 | Bezana | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 46:41 | 54 |
| 8 | Torina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 50 |
| 9 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 60:59 | 49 |
| 10 | Guarnizo | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Revilla | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | CD Colindres | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Gama | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:56 | 36 |
| 14 | Atletico Mineros | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:58 | 35 |
| 15 | Barreda Balompie | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 49:65 | 34 |
| 16 | Naval Reinosa | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 40:59 | 33 |
| 17 | CD Siete Villas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 29:53 | 28 |
| 18 | CD Monte | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 33:64 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
