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Guarnizo vs Gama

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Laherran C.
47' Event
Ruiz Morales D.
79' Event
Gonzalez Cagigas V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Guarnizo and Gama finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guarnizo
39%
Draws
31%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gama haven't matched Guarnizo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 20%
Gama Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarnizo Gama
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 14 8
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Gama
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Guarnizo
2:2
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs Guarnizo
0:0
Dec 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Gama
2:0
Apr 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Gama
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarnizo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Cagigas V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez Victor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Laherran C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz Morales D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarnizo 31 / 100
Gama 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarnizo Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarnizo scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

Gama let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Guarnizo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarnizo VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarnizo

(Home)
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2
Torina
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 8

Gama

(Away)
10 May
Bezana
0 : 3
Gama
04 May
Gama
4 : 2
SD Revilla
26 Apr
CD Colindres
4 : 0
Gama
20 Apr
Gama
3 : 4
Castro
13 Apr
CD Siete Villas
1 : 3
Gama
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Samano342010452:2270
2CD Tropezon34207758:3067
3Atletico Albericia34197864:3964
4Cayon CD341951061:4162
5Castro341611745:2659
6Vimenor341761163:4257
7Bezana341591046:4154
8Torina341481249:4450
9CD Barquereno3413101160:5949
10Guarnizo341115844:3748
11SD Revilla341261646:5342
12CD Colindres34991636:5336
13Gama34991634:5636
14Atletico Mineros34981733:5835
15Barreda Balompie348101649:6534
16Naval Reinosa34961940:5933
17CD Siete Villas34772029:5328
18CD Monte34552433:6420
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)