Sport Picks
Guarnizo vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 
Match Events
61'
61'
Gomez D.
85'
85'
Gomez D.
85'
85'
Gomez D.
AI Match Summary
Gimnastic de Torrelavega in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnastic de Torrelavega.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Gimnastic de Torrelavega lately — more wins on the board than Guarnizo.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 13%
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarnizo | Gimnastic de Torrelavega |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 2.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Guarnizo
1:0
Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega vs Guarnizo
0:0
Dec 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0:0
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarnizo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Gimnastic de Torrelavega Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarnizo 31 / 100
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarnizo Gimnastic de Torrelavega
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gimnastic de Torrelavega Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Guarnizo scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Gimnastic de Torrelavega has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Guarnizo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guarnizo VS Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarnizo
(Home) 12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1 Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0 Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0 CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1 Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1 Cayon CD
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0 CD Tropezon
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2 Torina
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1 SD Noja
02 Apr
Guarnizo
1 : 0 Cayon CD
Page 1 of 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
(Away) 12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
05 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 1 Llanera
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1 Derio
19 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 2 Rayo Cantabria
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
01 Aug
Gijon
5 : 0 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 86:15 | 83 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:28 | 71 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 50:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 47:26 | 66 |
| 5 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 65:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47:36 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon CD | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Torina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 39:40 | 53 |
| 10 | Bezana | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Selaya | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 13 | CD Revilla | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 35:63 | 31 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:64 | 30 |
| 15 | UC Cartes | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28:52 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Colindres | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:47 | 28 |
| 17 | CD Montanas del Pas | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:87 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Noja | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:68 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
