Sport Picks

Guaruja vs Independente SP Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil

Paulista A4 2011

Guaruja

1 - 2

Independente SP

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independente SP in this Paulista A4 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independente SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Guaruja

15%

Draws

85%

Independente SP

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independente SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Independente SP have won more games recently than Guaruja.
Win probability leans Independente SP's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Guaruja Clean Sheet 14%

Independente SP Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guaruja	Independente SP
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	20
Draws	5	2
Losses	21	8
Goals Scored	0.8	2.4
Goals Conceded	2.3	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	0.92	1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2011 Paulista A4

Independente SP vs Guaruja

5:0

Aug 6, 2011 Paulista A4

Guaruja vs Independente SP

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guaruja 10 / 100

Independente SP 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guaruja Independente SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente SP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Independente SP conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Guaruja's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Independente SP has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Independente SP

0 Goals Scored 2.13

0 Goals Conceded 0.63

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guaruja

(Home)

08 Jul

Elosport

3 : 0

Guaruja

30 Jun

Guaruja

0 : 3

AA Itarare

23 Jun

Primavera EC

3 : 0

Guaruja

16 Jun

Guaruja

0 : 3

Jabaquara

10 Jun

Maua FC

3 : 0

Guaruja

Page 1 of 6

Independente SP

(Away)

16 Aug

Independente SP

4 : 1

America SP

09 Aug

America SP

2 : 0

Independente SP

02 Aug

Independente SP

2 : 0

Flamengo SP

25 Jul

Flamengo SP

1 : 0

Independente SP

19 Jul

Independente SP

2 : 1

Paulinense

Page 1 of 6