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Guaruja vs Jose Bonifacio EC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paulista A4 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guaruja
20%
Draws
80%
Jose Bonifacio EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jose Bonifacio EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Jose Bonifacio EC have won more games recently than Guaruja.
  • Model gives Jose Bonifacio EC a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Guaruja Clean Sheet 20%
Jose Bonifacio EC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guaruja Jose Bonifacio EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.8 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2012 Paulista A4
Guaruja vs Jose Bonifacio EC
2:2
Aug 12, 2012 Paulista A4
Jose Bonifacio EC vs Guaruja
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guaruja 10 / 100
Jose Bonifacio EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guaruja Jose Bonifacio EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jose Bonifacio EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jose Bonifacio EC conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Guaruja scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Jose Bonifacio EC's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jose Bonifacio EC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guaruja

(Home)
08 Jul
Elosport
3 : 0
Guaruja
30 Jun
Guaruja
0 : 3
AA Itarare
23 Jun
Primavera EC
3 : 0
Guaruja
16 Jun
Guaruja
0 : 3
Jabaquara
10 Jun
Maua FC
3 : 0
Guaruja
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Jose Bonifacio EC

(Away)
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0
Jose Bonifacio EC
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1
Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Barueri 6 2 3 1 6:7 9
2 Votuporanguense 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
3 Nacional SP 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
4 SKA Brasil 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacarei FC 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Fernandopolis 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
3 Mauaense 6 1 3 2 4:5 6
4 Sumare 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Jose Bonifacio EC 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Americo EC 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
4 Guaruja 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Vicente 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
2 Tupa 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Olimpia FC 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
4 Jaboticabal Atletico 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
Promotion - Paulista A4 2012 (Fourth stage)