Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2012

Guaruja

2 - 1

Manthiqueira

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2012 game between Guaruja and Manthiqueira finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guaruja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Guaruja

15%

Draws

85%

Manthiqueira

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manthiqueira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Manthiqueira carry the better recent record into this one.
85% — that's where the model lands on Manthiqueira taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Guaruja Clean Sheet 20%

Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guaruja	Manthiqueira
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	4	12
Draws	5	4
Losses	21	16
Goals Scored	0.8	1.59
Goals Conceded	2.3	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.42	0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2014 Paulista A4

Guaruja vs Manthiqueira

1:6

Aug 3, 2014 Paulista A4

Manthiqueira vs Guaruja

3:1

Aug 5, 2012 Paulista A4

Guaruja vs Manthiqueira

2:1

Jul 15, 2012 Paulista A4

Manthiqueira vs Guaruja

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guaruja 10 / 100

Manthiqueira 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guaruja Manthiqueira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manthiqueira Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Manthiqueira conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Away concern: Manthiqueira has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guaruja's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Manthiqueira

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 1.63

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guaruja

(Home)

08 Jul

Elosport

3 : 0

Guaruja

30 Jun

Guaruja

0 : 3

AA Itarare

23 Jun

Primavera EC

3 : 0

Guaruja

16 Jun

Guaruja

0 : 3

Jabaquara

10 Jun

Maua FC

3 : 0

Guaruja

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Manthiqueira

(Away)

05 Jul

Jose Bonifacio EC

2 : 1

Manthiqueira

27 Jun

Manthiqueira

0 : 2

Jose Bonifacio EC

20 Jun

Manthiqueira

2 : 1

Mauaense

14 Jun

Barcelona SP

1 : 5

Manthiqueira

06 Jun

Manthiqueira

0 : 2

Itaqua

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