Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2020

Santa Cruz U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz U20 is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Guarulhos U20, backed by a win probability of 67%. Guarulhos U20 averages 0.6 goals scored and 2.7 conceded in recent matches. Santa Cruz U20 shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Guarulhos U20, 1 wins for Santa Cruz U20, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 06.01.20 ended in a 0:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Guarulhos U20 and 1.11 for Santa Cruz U20, suggesting the primary value lies in the Santa Cruz U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%

Guarulhos U20

19%

Draws

67%

Santa Cruz U20

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Santa Cruz U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Guarulhos U20 picked up more points recently compared to Santa Cruz U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Guarulhos U20 Clean Sheet 21%

Santa Cruz U20 Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guarulhos U20	Santa Cruz U20
Matches Played	26	32
Wins	3	16
Draws	4	7
Losses	19	9
Goals Scored	0.62	1.84
Goals Conceded	2.69	0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

06.01.20 Copinha

Guarulhos U20 vs Santa Cruz U20

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

0:4

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Guarulhos U20

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Santa Cruz U20

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Sit deep

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarulhos U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A

0 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Santa Cruz U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaucho L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Victor P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarulhos U20 17 / 100

Santa Cruz U20 63 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guarulhos U20 Santa Cruz U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz U20 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Santa Cruz U20 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +133.4%

16.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Santa Cruz U20 will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Guarulhos U20 15%

Santa Cruz U20 54%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Guarulhos U20 will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Santa Cruz U20's early runs.

Guarulhos U20 13%

Santa Cruz U20 70%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Santa Cruz U20 to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Guarulhos U20 tries to push forward.

Guarulhos U20 14%

Santa Cruz U20 67%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Santa Cruz U20 increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Guarulhos U20 15%

Santa Cruz U20 64%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Guarulhos U20's defense, opening up opportunities for Santa Cruz U20's forward line.

Guarulhos U20 13%

Santa Cruz U20 74%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Santa Cruz U20 to manage the closing stages, while Guarulhos U20 searches for late drama.

Guarulhos U20 16%

Santa Cruz U20 77%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guarulhos U20 attacking → ← attacking Santa Cruz U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarulhos U20 have found the net in 46% of their last 26 matches.

Santa Cruz U20 have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 32 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.

Guarulhos U20 remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Santa Cruz U20 suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 55

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Londrina U20	3	2	0	1	7:4	6
2	Ponte Preta U20	3	1	1	1	7:4	4
3	EC Sao Jose (PA) U20	3	1	1	1	6:6	4
4	Osvaldo Cruz U20	3	1	0	2	4:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Santos U20	3	3	0	13:2	9
2	EC Timon U20	3	2	1	6:4	6
3	Marilia AC U20	3	1	2	4:5	3
4	Olimpico EC U20	3	0	3	2:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo SP U20	3	2	1	0	5:0	7
2	Atletico GO U20	3	1	2	0	5:1	5
3	Assisense U20	3	1	0	2	5:7	3
4	Dimensao Capela U20	3	0	1	2	1:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino U20	3	2	1	0	12:5	7
2	Botafogo RJ U20	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
3	Noroeste U20	3	1	0	2	5:7	3
4	Visao Celeste U20	3	0	0	3	5:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vitoria U20	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Serra U20	3	1	1	1	4:5	4
3	XV de Jau U20	3	1	0	2	2:4	3
4	Guarani U20	3	0	2	1	2:3	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Red Bull Brasil U20	3	2	0	1	7:3	6
2	Parana U20	3	1	1	1	5:4	4
3	Velo Clube U20	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20	3	1	0	2	5:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Internacional U20	3	2	1	0	6:0	7
2	Capivariano U20	3	2	1	0	4:1	7
3	Linense U20	3	1	0	2	4:5	3
4	Confianca EC U20	3	0	0	3	1:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Desportivo U20	3	2	1	4:1	6
2	Volta Redonda U20	3	2	1	4:3	6
3	America MG U20	3	1	2	3:2	3
4	Galvez U20	3	1	2	1:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Votuporanguense U20	3	3	0	10:1	9
2	Tanabi U20	3	2	1	5:7	6
3	Fortaleza U20	3	1	2	2:4	3
4	Brasil de Pelotas U20	3	0	3	0:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Joinville U20	3	3	0	9:5	9
2	Mirassol U20	3	2	1	9:4	6
3	Nova Iguacu U20	3	1	2	6:5	3
4	Linhares Futebol Clube U20	3	0	3	3:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians U20	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Francana U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
3	Fluminense Piaui U20	3	1	1	1	4:5	4
4	Retro U20	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	EC Juventude U20	3	3	0	0	6:3	9
2	Cuiaba U20	3	2	0	1	8:6	6
3	Perilima U20	3	0	1	2	5:7	1
4	Comercial U20	3	0	1	2	5:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tupi U20	3	2	1	0	7:4	7
2	Bahia U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
3	Piracicaba U20	3	1	0	2	4:5	3
4	Primavera EC U20	3	1	0	2	4:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Athletico-PR U20	3	3	0	0	11:3	9
2	Gama U20	3	1	1	1	6:5	4
3	Paulista U20	3	0	2	1	2:6	2
4	Rio Claro U20	3	0	1	2	4:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fluminense U20	3	3	0	0	8:0	9
2	Ituano U20	3	2	0	1	3:1	6
3	Vilhenense U20	3	0	1	2	1:4	1
4	Socorro U20	3	0	1	2	1:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Taboao da Serra U20	3	2	1	0	6:0	7
2	CRB U20	3	2	1	0	3:0	7
3	Vila Nova FC U20	3	1	0	2	2:6	3
4	Internacional de Limeira U20	3	0	0	3	1:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviaria U20	3	3	0	9:1	9
2	Palmeiras U20	3	2	1	5:2	6
3	Uniao Rondonopolis U20	3	1	2	4:8	3
4	Petrolina U20	3	0	3	0:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sertaozinho U20	3	1	2	0	3:2	5
2	Goias U20	3	1	1	1	4:3	4
3	Penapolense U20	3	1	1	1	5:6	4
4	Confianca U20	3	1	0	2	3:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vasco U20	3	2	1	0	9:2	7
2	Itapirense U20	3	2	0	1	5:4	6
3	Jacuipense U20	3	1	1	1	10:6	4
4	Carajas U20	3	0	0	3	3:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nautico U20	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	Criciuma U20	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
3	Jaguariuna U20	3	0	1	2	4:6	1
4	Santo Andre U20	3	0	1	2	2:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gremio U20	3	2	1	0	7:1	7
2	Real Brasilia U20	3	2	0	1	7:4	6
3	CA Juventus U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
4	Uniao Mogi U20	3	0	0	3	1:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chapecoense-SC U20	3	2	1	0	10:2	7
2	Uniao ABC U20	3	2	0	1	7:8	6
3	Sao Raimundo RR U20	3	1	1	1	5:4	4
4	Uniao Suzano U20	3	0	0	3	2:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-MG U20	3	2	1	7:2	6
2	River-PI U20	3	2	1	7:3	6
3	Taubate U20	3	2	1	6:2	6
4	Capital FC U20	3	0	3	1:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Bernardo FC U20	3	2	1	0	9:4	7
2	ABC U20	3	1	1	1	6:4	4
3	Resende U20	3	1	0	2	5:5	3
4	Manthiqueira U20	3	1	0	2	2:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Agua Santa U20	3	2	1	0	6:1	7
2	Trem U20	3	1	2	0	5:2	5
3	Vitoria da Conquista U20	3	1	1	1	4:3	4
4	Flamengo RJ U20	3	0	0	3	0:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avai U20	3	2	1	0	9:6	7
2	Atletico Cearense U20	3	2	0	1	9:4	6
3	Maua FC U20	3	1	1	1	4:5	4
4	Nova Andradina U20	3	0	0	3	3:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20	3	3	0	7:1	9
2	Osasco Sporting U20	3	2	1	11:3	6
3	Sergipe U20	3	1	2	3:11	3
4	Trindade U20	3	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desportiva Paraense U20	3	2	0	1	4:3	6
2	Sport Recife U20	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Osasco Audax U20	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Moto Club U20	3	0	1	2	5:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo U20	3	1	2	0	10:2	5
2	Operario PR U20	3	1	2	0	5:3	5
3	EC Sao Bernardo U20	3	1	2	0	5:4	5
4	Palmeira U20	3	0	0	3	3:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Santa Cruz U20	3	3	0	9:2	9
2	Flamengo SP U20	3	2	1	9:2	6
3	America RJ U20	3	1	2	3:8	3
4	Guarulhos U20	3	0	3	0:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ceara U20	3	2	1	0	6:4	7
2	Sao Caetano U20	3	2	0	1	5:3	6
3	Nacional SP U20	3	1	1	1	6:7	4
4	Canaa U20	3	0	0	3	3:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Bento U20	3	2	1	0	4:1	7
2	Coritiba U20	3	2	0	1	3:2	6
3	CSA U20	3	0	2	1	2:4	2
4	Portuguesa U20	3	0	1	2	3:5	1