Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Vinicius Caveira
(Penalty)
60'
60'
Marcelo Mineiro
63'
63'
Pereira E.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Paulinense in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paulinense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paulinense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Guarulhos lately — more wins on the board than Paulinense.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Guarulhos taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Guarulhos Clean Sheet 68%
Paulinense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guarulhos | Paulinense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 14 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Guarulhos vs Paulinense
1:2
May 17, 2026 Paulista B
Paulinense vs Guarulhos
1:7
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guarulhos Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Paulinense Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcelo Mineiro
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guarulhos 50 / 100
Paulinense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guarulhos Paulinense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarulhos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.
Guarulhos scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Paulinense conceded in 71% of 14 recent games.
Guarulhos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Guarulhos VS Paulinense
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guarulhos
(Home) 20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2 Paulinense
13 Jun
Votoraty SP
4 : 2 Guarulhos
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0 Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0 Flamengo SP
24 May
Audax-SP
2 : 2 Guarulhos
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2 Paulinense
05 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 0 Paulinia FU
31 May
Guarulhos
1 : 0 Flamengo SP
10 May
Guarulhos
3 : 0 Votoraty SP
19 Apr
Guarulhos
2 : 1 Audax-SP
Page 1 of 3
Paulinense
(Away) 19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1 Independente SP
05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2 Paulinense
Page 1 of 3
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2 Paulinense
30 May
Votoraty SP
1 : 2 Paulinense
08 May
Audax-SP
2 : 0 Paulinense
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
