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Guastatoya vs Marquense Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio David Cordón Hichos, Guastatoya
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Avalos V.
16' Event
Velasquez E.
69' Event
Grande D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Guastatoya and Marquense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Guastatoya
20%
Draws
35%
Marquense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Marquense have managed 1.07 goals a game lately — Guastatoya are scoring more at 1.39.
  • Model gives Guastatoya a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 19%
Marquense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guastatoya Marquense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Marquense
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Marquense
4:0
Mar 5, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Guastatoya
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Marquense
5:0
Sep 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Guastatoya
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guastatoya Compare

Top Goalscorer Avalos V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Marquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasquez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grande D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guastatoya 42 / 100
Marquense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guastatoya Marquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Guastatoya has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guastatoya found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Marquense has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guastatoya VS Marquense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guastatoya

(Home)
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Guastatoya
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
06 Sept
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Guastatoya
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Marquense

(Away)
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Antigua
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
2 Guastatoya 11 7 1 3 17:12 22
3 Antigua 11 7 0 4 21:17 21
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
9 Aurora F.C. 11 4 0 7 16:19 12
10 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
11 Comunicaciones 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
12 Suchitepequez 11 1 3 7 11:23 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)