Sport Picks
Guastatoya vs Marquense
Guatemala
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio David Cordón Hichos, Guastatoya 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Guastatoya and Marquense finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guastatoya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guastatoya carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Guastatoya a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Guastatoya have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guastatoya | Marquense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guastatoya Compare
Marquense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Guastatoya scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Marquense conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Away concern: Marquense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Guastatoya
(Home)Marquense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelaju | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32:21 | 38 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30:26 | 36 |
| 4 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 28:26 | 35 |
| 5 | Antigua | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:29 | 34 |
| 6 | Coban Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:22 | 32 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25:29 | 30 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:36 | 27 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:25 | 22 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C. | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14:30 | 20 |
| 12 | Deportivo Achuapa | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | 19 |
