Sport Picks

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Guastatoya vs Xinabajul

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio David Cordón Hichos, Guastatoya
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Aquino D.
12' Event
Morales B.
27'
Yori E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2024/2025 game between Guastatoya and Xinabajul finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xinabajul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Guastatoya
35%
Draws
12%
Xinabajul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Xinabajul haven't matched Guastatoya's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Guastatoya a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 68%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guastatoya Xinabajul
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.44 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Guastatoya
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Xinabajul
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Xinabajul
5:1
Aug 18, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Guastatoya
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Guastatoya
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guastatoya Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Xinabajul Compare

Top Goalscorer Aquino D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guastatoya 95 / 100
Xinabajul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guastatoya Xinabajul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guastatoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Guastatoya remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Guastatoya scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Xinabajul conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guastatoya VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guastatoya

(Home)
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Guastatoya
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
06 Sept
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 7

Xinabajul

(Away)
27 Apr
Comunicaciones
2 : 1
Xinabajul
24 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Guastatoya
20 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Xinabajul
17 Apr
Xinabajul
0 : 0
Antigua
14 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)